Although the main headline from the NOAA's first winter weather predictions is that the drought will continue to improve in the Southeast, their temperature and precipitation outlook isn't as ominous. 

According to the NOAA, there is a modest probability of above-average temperatures spanning most of the lower 48 states.

noaa.gov

They indicate no part of the U.S. is favored to have below-average temperatures this winter.

As for precipitation, the Tri-State falls in an area with the possibility of equal chances for below, average, above-normal precipitation; it could be feast or famine.

noaa.gov

The next climate prediction center report from NOAA will be released on November 21st, a week before Thanksgiving.