When the National Weather Service issued a Moderate Risk for Excessive Rainfall on Thursday, that was a first for me. I'm familiar with seeing "Moderate Risk" attached to severe weather forecasts that include strong thunderstorms and tornadoes, but not rainfall. There's "lots of rain" and then there's what we could get under THOSE circumstances.

Well, it just got worse.

High Risk for Excessive Rainfall

Minutes ago, the NWS Weather Prediction Center elevated there warning to a High Risk for Excessive Rainfall on Saturday. Heavy rainfall will begin late tonight and is not expected to let up until sometime Saturday night.

National Weather Service
National Weather Service
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With this event, the Weather Prediction Center is using language I rarely see from the National Weather Service.

Life-threatening flash flooding and significant river flooding is likely with 3-6 inches of rain expected with isolated amounts up to 8 inches. 1-2 inch/hr rainfall rates expected with higher rates in any convection. Significant river flooding is likely across Kentucky.
National Weather Service
National Weather Service
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I guess I rarely see this kind of language because we rarely get this kind of rainfall. But here we go. By the way, in a meteorological context, convection refers to "the vertical movement of heat and moisture in the atmosphere." In simple terms, warm air rises because it's less dense and cool air sinks because it's more dense.

The National Weather Service had already issued a Flood Warning, but it has been extended to include the Ohio River at Newburgh Dam, Mount Vernon, J.T. Myers Dam,   Shawneetown, and Olmsted Lock and Dam.

Also, by Sunday morning, the National Weather Service indicates the rain will end with some snow.

We're getting it all this winter.

LOOK: The most expensive weather and climate disasters in recent decades

Stacker ranked the most expensive climate disasters by the billions since 1980 by the total cost of all damages, adjusted for inflation, based on 2021 data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The list starts with Hurricane Sally, which caused $7.3 billion in damages in 2020, and ends with a devastating 2005 hurricane that caused $170 billion in damage and killed at least 1,833 people. Keep reading to discover the 50 of the most expensive climate disasters in recent decades in the U.S.

Gallery Credit: KATELYN LEBOFF

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